Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.186633 0.223186 0.262465 0.307539 0.357560 0.411112 0.472518
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.129715 0.176504 0.230906 0.297723 0.376485 0.465349 0.572152
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.095586 0.147876 0.213420 0.298946 0.405009 0.529808 0.685311
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.067942 0.120948 0.192830 0.292367 0.421776 0.579857 0.783050
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.045907 0.096008 0.170053 0.279005 0.427304 0.614902 0.862911
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.034777 0.084275 0.163112 0.285007 0.456960 0.680285 0.981679
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.023869 0.069442 0.148703 0.278146 0.467795 0.720855 1.069531
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.019247 0.064706 0.149157 0.292529 0.508078 0.800919 1.209896
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013733 0.055964 0.141205 0.292769 0.527532 0.853017 1.314466
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.009700 0.048722 0.134425 0.293727 0.547391 0.905612 1.420320
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.007321 0.044597 0.132650 0.302378 0.578640 0.974404 1.548938
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.005574 0.041346 0.131945 0.312477 0.612120 1.046800 1.683485
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004103 0.038143 0.131006 0.322418 0.646358 1.122099 1.824985
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002384 0.032050 0.122383 0.317614 0.656859 1.163329 1.920216
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001498 0.028596 0.119096 0.322176 0.682312 1.226690 2.047210
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000720 0.023848 0.111329 0.317239 0.691667 1.266245 2.141205
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000217 0.018532 0.100250 0.304291 0.686583 1.283641 2.203644
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000093 0.016812 0.099079 0.311380 0.715645 1.352968 2.341152
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000010 0.013514 0.091752 0.304533 0.719989 1.384377 2.424261
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000003 0.013226 0.094601 0.320089 0.764214 1.477944 2.598650
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.011307 0.090877 0.320512 0.781307 1.529555 2.712416
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.009695 0.087643 0.321633 0.799499 1.583021 2.829402
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.008984 0.087891 0.330891 0.832744 1.660626 2.982732